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Bookmaker Margin Calculator

Add every outcome in a market and this calculator totals their implied probabilities. Any amount above 100% is the bookmaker's margin — the edge charged on the market — and the table shows what each price would be without it.

Odds format
Total implied probability
104.81%

A fair book totals exactly 100%.

Bookmaker margin
4.59%

Overround 4.81%

Fair odds for each outcome once the margin is removed
OutcomeImpliedFair chanceFair odds
Outcome 147.62%45.43%2.20
Outcome 229.41%28.06%3.56
Outcome 327.78%26.50%3.77

The formulas

total = Σ (1 ÷ decimal oddsᵢ)
overround% = (total − 1) × 100
margin% = (total − 1) ÷ total × 100
fair probabilityᵢ = (1 ÷ oddsᵢ) ÷ total
fair oddsᵢ = 1 ÷ fair probabilityᵢ

This normalises the margin proportionally across outcomes. Real books load more margin onto long shots, so fair odds on outsiders are an approximation.

Worked example

A football match is priced 2.10 / 3.40 / 3.60. The implied probabilities are 47.62%, 29.41% and 27.78%, totalling 104.81%. The overround is 4.81% and the margin is 4.59%. Removing it proportionally gives fair prices of about 2.20, 3.56 and 3.77.

Typical margins by market type.
MarketTypical totalMargin
Major football 1X2104–107%3.8–6.5%
NFL point spread (−110 both sides)104.8%4.5%
Tennis match winner103–106%2.9–5.7%
Outright tournament winner115–140%13–29%
Player props and specials108–125%7.4–20%

Common mistakes

  • Leaving out an outcome. Forgetting the draw in a 1X2 market makes the margin look far smaller than it is.
  • Comparing markets with different outcome counts. A 3-way market naturally totals higher than a 2-way one at the same per-outcome margin.
  • Assuming fair odds are true odds. They are margin-free prices derived from the bookmaker's numbers, not an independent estimate of what will happen.

Frequently asked questions

Last reviewed: 24 August 2026. Formulas on this page are checked against the unit test suite that powers every bet.ing calculator.