Bookmaker Margin Calculator
Add every outcome in a market and this calculator totals their implied probabilities. Any amount above 100% is the bookmaker's margin — the edge charged on the market — and the table shows what each price would be without it.
A fair book totals exactly 100%.
Overround 4.81%
| Outcome | Implied | Fair chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome 1 | 47.62% | 45.43% | 2.20 |
| Outcome 2 | 29.41% | 28.06% | 3.56 |
| Outcome 3 | 27.78% | 26.50% | 3.77 |
The formulas
This normalises the margin proportionally across outcomes. Real books load more margin onto long shots, so fair odds on outsiders are an approximation.
Worked example
A football match is priced 2.10 / 3.40 / 3.60. The implied probabilities are 47.62%, 29.41% and 27.78%, totalling 104.81%. The overround is 4.81% and the margin is 4.59%. Removing it proportionally gives fair prices of about 2.20, 3.56 and 3.77.
| Market | Typical total | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Major football 1X2 | 104–107% | 3.8–6.5% |
| NFL point spread (−110 both sides) | 104.8% | 4.5% |
| Tennis match winner | 103–106% | 2.9–5.7% |
| Outright tournament winner | 115–140% | 13–29% |
| Player props and specials | 108–125% | 7.4–20% |
Common mistakes
- Leaving out an outcome. Forgetting the draw in a 1X2 market makes the margin look far smaller than it is.
- Comparing markets with different outcome counts. A 3-way market naturally totals higher than a 2-way one at the same per-outcome margin.
- Assuming fair odds are true odds. They are margin-free prices derived from the bookmaker's numbers, not an independent estimate of what will happen.
Frequently asked questions
Related calculators
- Parlay CalculatorMultiply 2–20 selections into one combined price and see how small the real chance becomes.
- Odds ConverterMove between decimal, American and fractional odds without a lookup table.
- Implied Probability CalculatorTurn any price into the percentage chance the bookmaker's odds represent.
- Kelly Criterion CalculatorSize a stake from your own probability estimate — and see when the maths says zero.
Last reviewed: 24 August 2026. Formulas on this page are checked against the unit test suite that powers every bet.ing calculator.